Swing State Project - Potential African American majority Congressional Districts in MS

Check out our fellow bloggers at Swing State Project and their projections for the upcoming 2010 Census...

"When Congressional districts are redistricted after the 2010 Census, it will be possible to redistrict both the States of Alabama and Mississippi so that each has an additional reasonably compact Black majority congressional district. As you can see in the table below, Alabama most definitely has a high enough African American population for 2 of its 7 Congressional districts to be Black opportunity districts. Anything less than that would pretty clearly constitute the dilution of Black voting power in Alabama. Mississippi is a closer case, but between 2000 and the 2010 census, it will have passed the point at which it is more proportional to have 2 African American opportunity districts than to have only 1. It is also less of a sure thing that two African American Representatives could actually be elected, because the Black majorities in the two African American districts cannot be too large..."